Fantasy football: Santonio Holmes’ value misleading

Holmes boy: It’s easy to buy into New York Jets wideout Santonio Holmes after his 147-yard performance last week, but take a closer look and that optimism might be a little unwarranted. In his next two games, Holmes faces the Houston Texans and San Francisco 49ers defenses, both stout against the run and pass. It’s not so much a knock on him as it is doubt in if Mark Sanchezwill be able to get the ball in his hands. The Jets running game has been anemic, leaving little guesswork for defenses.

Should fantasy owners bail on Santonio Holmes while they have the chance? (Jason Bridge/US Presswire)

With Stephen Hill struggling and Dustin Keller dealing with injury, these stout defenses will key on Holmes and force Sanchez to beat them with Jeremy Kerley. It was a good sign from this passing offense in Week 3, but let’s face it, Holmes put up those numbers against Miami’s 29th ranked pass defense, and they needed overtime to get the win. As Michael Fabiano pointed out in his Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em analysis for Week 4, that was Holmes “first 100-yard performance since November 2010.” Temper expectations big time when it comes to the roller coaster ride that is the Jets’ offense.

A new bird: Fantasy owners have been scouring the waiver wire to pick up Arizona Cardinals running back Ryan Williams after news broke that Beanie Wells has been placed on the injured reserve list. While Williams definitely makes for a worthy pickup, be sure to temper expectations before starting him. He’ll probably get the bulk of the work now, but he faces a Miami Dolphins rushing defense which currently ranks third in the NFL this year. Also, it’s not like the Virginia Tech product has been lighting it up. He is averaging 3.4 yards per carry, in large part due to his 83-yard performance against the Eagles last week. Before that, he was averaging 1.2 yards per carry, and he still has yet to see the end zone this season. He does have a nice matchup in Week 5 against the Rams, but then his next three opponents (BUF, MIN, SF ) all rank among the top-half of the league against the run.

Turning Greene: New York Jets running back Shonn Greene has failed to live up to expectations thus far, prompting coach Rex Ryan to state “it’s possible” that Joe McKnight and Bilal Powell would see more touches. With news breaking that McKnight could see time at the cornerback position, that means Powell is the favorite to unseat Greene atop the depth chart. The Louisville product is averaging four yards per carry this season, a stark contrast to that of Greene’s 2.8 yards per carry. The younger Powell has looked more decisive in his limited time, and it shouldn’t be long before he steals the job. Fantasy owners should consider plucking him off the waiver wire and getting ahead of the curve. With the Jets facing off against two top-ten run defenses in the next three games, it’s likely Greene will find scarce running room to perform, thus giving the coaching staff no option but to turn the reins over to Powell. If you’re in need of depth at the position, snatch him up now, especially with the bye weeks starting.

-Adrian Mojica
Follow on Twitter @FFFdaily

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