Three and out: Will fantasy owners have any Luck?

Colts will take Andrew Luck: Talk about the worst-kept secret in the NFL. The Colts announced earlier this week that Luck will be their choice with the first overall pick in the 2012 NFL Draft, but where will he land from a fantasy perspective? Well, he’s a surefire top-three selection in all dynasty leagues. If we’re talking seasonal formats, though, I don’t see the Stanford product coming off the board until the late rounds as a No. 2 fantasy quarterback and occasional matchup-based starter. Keep in mind that aside from Cam Newton, there hasn’t been a rookie signal-caller to emerge into a surefire fantasy starter, well, ever. And that includes guys like Dan Marino, Brett Favre and John Elway. Even Andy Dalton, who made the Pro Bowl as a rookie in 2011, finished just 15th in fantasy points at his position. Sure, Luck is the best prospect to come out of college in a long, long time, but even he’ll endure some NFL growing pains.

Garrard, Moore split reps: The Miami Herald reports that David Garrard and Matt Moore were “almost dead even” in taking reps at the Dolphins’ voluntary veteran minicamp on Tuesday. The two will likely continue to battle for the top spot on the depth chart into training camp, but neither is going to make a huge fantasy impact. In fact, the potential addition of Texas A&M quarterback Ryan Tannehill in the NFL draft could lead to an even more crowded situation. With few offensive weapons on the roster, it’s going to be tough to draft any Miami player (aside from Reggie Bush) in a highly prominent role heading into the 2012 campaign.

Vikings add Jerome Simpson: Best known for his full-body flip into the end zone last season, Simpson has traded in his Bengal stripes for the purple and yellow in Minnesota. The question is, can he make an impact in fantasy land with his new team? While I do think Simpson could turn into a viable No. 4 or 5 fantasy wideout, keep in mind that he’s also going to miss the first three games due to a league-imposed suspension. So unless you’re in a deeper league or have large rosters, he’s not even worth drafting. Once he returns, however, the veteran out of Coastal Carolina will be worth a look off the waiver wire as a potential fantasy reserve.

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