Yesterday, we talked about diminished expectations for RBs this season. Whereas the old “100 yards and a TD” standard is out the window as a means to judge them, now if you are getting 75 on the ground, 20-30 in receiving yards and maybe a TD, your RB stable is okay. But how does this affect trades? How does it affect the way you’ll draft in the future?
2011 issue: If you are really unhappy with your RB situation, DON’T GIVE UP THE FARM FOR AN ELITE ONE. It’s not worth it. Keep scouring the waiver wire and pick up Kendall Hunter or Roy Helu or Alfonso Smith* and wait to see if one of them hits. The price for an elite RB is too high. It’s not worth giving up a great WR, a contributing RB and possibly more. For instance, say you’re hot on Fred Jackson. Know what the guy who owns Jackson is going to ask for? Your No. 1 WR and your No. 2 RB. And either a QB, TE or “D” he can start. There’s no reason to decimate your team for this, when no one has a monopoly on RBs and is running away with the league. Stay the course, wait it out and hit the waiver wire hard.
2012 issue: I know we’re still in 2011’s infancy, but no matter what, you’re more than likely drafting a QB first next year. Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers and Drew Brees should be your first four taken overall. They’re the best, the guys who will give you 4K and 30 TDs guaranteed. For the most part, they’re not going to get hurt, unlike RBs who are always one play away from the sideline. There will be two or three more QBs who explode this season and play their way to the middle-to-late part of the first round next year, then you’ll finish out the round with Darren McFadden, Adrian Peterson and Calvin Johnson.
*Just real quick on Alfonso Smith. I like him a ton in Arizona. He’s surpassed Chester Taylor as the No. 2 behind Beanie Wells after Taylor’s lugubrious effort Sunday. Ken Whisenhunt had glowing things to say about Smith, and considering Wells’ history, it’s worth getting ahead of the curve on Smith right now.