Last night, I decided to conduct a little impromptu fantasy football Q&A session with my friends on Twitter. The question surrounded running backs – if you had to pick three runners who didn’t finish in the top five in fantasy points in 2010 to reach that level next season, who would you choose?
Many of those in my “Twitter family” responded with Frank Gore, Maurice Jones-Drew, Darren McFadden, Ray Rice and Michael Turner. I then asked a follow-up question, “Would you draft any of those running backs ahead of Arian Foster (the top-scoring fantasy player in 2010)?”
That’s when the flood gates opened.
I received a lot of Tweets saying that Foster was a “one-year wonder,” some even comparing him to Steve Slaton. Well, apparently Foster was paying attention to the sudden chatter.
In response, Foster re-tweeted one of the tweets that doubted his ability to duplicate his 2010 success:
#Thingsthatkeepmegoing RT @jimz22 @Michael_Fabiano yes arian foster is a one hit wonder.there was a reason that he was 4th string 2yrs ago.
Unfortunately, the way the re-tweet was sent it seemed like I said Foster was a one-hit wonder. That’s not true. Do I think he can have another big season? Yes. But I think all athletes, regardless of the sport, are almost destined to see a statistical regression after putting up what I call a “magical season.”
The most recent example of that is Chris Johnson, who rushed for 1,364 yards one year after going for 2,006 yards in 2009. Yes, that’s a huge decline in rushing yards, but did CJ2K have a bad season? No.
When a player has that “magical season,” everything falls into place just right. Unfortunately, chances are it will not happen like that ever again. So while I’ll still tout Foster as a first-round pick (remember, he was one of my top sleepers heading into 2010), I wouldn’t be shocked if he saw a decrease in statistical success.
Regardless, at least we know that Foster is motivated to be as good (or better) than he was in 2010.
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