One of the best features of any fantasy game is the projections. Nothing gives you the instant validation that you are setting to proper lineup than to see your projected lineup is beating your opponent’s lineup. You already feel like a winner on Wednesday morning, like you just got a pep talk from legendary Packers coach Vince Lombardi.
Nothing can stop you.
Unless you find out that instead of having Lombardi pumping you up, you have a crazy computer giving you projections. Crazy like that military computer Joshua that nearly started World War III in “War Games.”
Not that the EA projections are “end of the world” crazy like that, though some might wonder seeing that Broncos QB Tim Tebow is projected as the No. 2 quarterback this week. Tebow clocking in rather than Tom Brady, Drew Brees and – oh yeah – Michael Vick? Maybe this is the end of days.
And it also makes you feel good to realize that computers control everything from money, to records to the planes that we fly on. Can these computers have Tebow Fever, too? We could wake up tomorrow with Tebow’s face on Mount Rushmore.
Let’s not go to “Defcon 1″ just yet. As somebody who spends a great deal of time offering advice to fantasy enthusiasts, it is hard to get everything right. Especially projections. The EA projections are typically pretty good, too. But here is why I would not be so bullish on Tebow this week.
Tebow had a great debut against the Raiders, there is no arguing. But the Denver Post reported that Tebow’s performance was graded down because his long touchdown run was actually a busted play. In addition, his touchdown pass to WR Brandon Lloyd was dubious because it was overturned despite indisputable visual evidence and probably should have been intercepted.
The Texans might have the worst defense in the NFL, but it is still a professional defense and Tebow is still a rookie. And so is interim coach Eric Studesville, who gave the Texans a head start on defensing Tebow when he said that the rookie was going to start earlier this week.
But the most compelling reason is that this is likely your fantasy championship. Do you want to put it in the hands of a rookie? I’ll admit to being a fantasy chicken. I’ll roll with the guys who have gotten me to the promised land. Those projections could be spot on, but I would never have the guts to start him over, say, Manning as my friend Shaun K. has suggested.
In fact, I will roll with my own projection that Vick will top Tebow this week. And for the record, EA projection computer, Matthew Broderick did top Joshua in “War Games.”