Quarterbacks still overvalued in fantasy drafts

Donovan McNabb's current ADP on NFL.com is 42.34. (AJ Mast / Associated Press)

Donovan McNabb's current ADP on NFL.com is 42.34. (AJ Mast / Associated Press)

A few weeks back, I wrote a blog about how NFL.com’s ADP (average draft position) showed a huge run on quarterbacks in the first three rounds of drafts.

I found that a bit odd, because I had been able to land guys like Philip Rivers, Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner and Tony Romo after the third round in different expert leagues.

That made me think — do the experts value quarterbacks less than running backs and wide receivers in the first four rounds, or are quarterbacks just overvalued in most leagues?

Well, I found out that the latter is true in a recent draft I held with family and friends from back on the east coast.

In one of the few non-industry drafts I’m in, Drew Brees was the first overall pick. That’s right — Drew Brees!

The madness didn’t stop there.

Tom Brady went in Round 2 and Peyton Manning in Round 3 (that’s not unusual), but then the run started. Once Manning came off the board, Rivers,  Rodgers, Warner and  Romo were selected.

All in the third round!

Matt Ryan was taken in the fourth round, and Donovan McNabb went in Round 5. But I stuck to what I’ve done all along — I waited to take a quarterback and gobbled up all the star running backs and wide receivers I could.

When the draft ended, here’s how my final roster looked: (Keep in mind, this is a PPR format that rewards points for return yards and touchdowns).

Round 1: Chris Johnson, RB, Tennessee — Johnson was the best runner on the board at the No. 6 overall pick. I took him ahead of DeAngelo Williams due to the PPR format.

Round 2: Calvin Johnson, WR, Detroit — I tend to take a superstar wideout in the second round, so this was a typical pick for me. Megatron is a top-five receiver across the board.

Round 3: Steve Smith, WR, Carolina — There were still loads of good runners, so I nabbed Smith in the third round. Seems like a steal, if he has no setbacks with the bum shoulder.

Round 4: Joseph Addai, RB, Indianapolis — He lost some draft value when the Colts landed Donald Brown, but I still think Addai will rush for 1,000-plus yards this season.

Round 5: Reggie Bush, RB, New Orleans — Bush is a risk to be certain, but there’s no way I was passing on him here in a PPR league that rewards players for return yards and scores.

Round 6: Antonio Gates, TE, San Diego — The second-rated fantasy tight end on my personal board, I was really shocked to see Gates still available in the middle of the sixth round.

Round 7: Santana Moss, WR, Washington — Moss can be inconsistent at times and won’t put up huge numbers in the Redskins offense, but I’ll still take him as my No. 3 wideout.

Round 8: Carson Palmer, QB, Cincinnati — I finally folded and took a quarterback, Palmer, in the eighth round. He could be an absolute steal if he comes back to his 2006 form.

Round 9: Torry Holt, WR, Jacksonville — I’m not expecting him to return to his “Greatest Show on Turf” form, but as  a No. 4 fantasy wideout I think Holt is a nice fit in this round.

Round 10: Jerious Norwood, RB, Atlanta — Norwood will see more work for the Falcons this season. He’ll also give me points for catches, return yards and overall touchdowns.

Round 11: Brett Favre, QB, Minnesota — I had to do it! Favre was the best quarterback on the board, and I can use him ahead of Palmer when the matchups dictate such a move.

Round 12: Michael Crabtree, WR, San Francisco — The rookie still hasn’t signed a deal, but at this stage of the draft I figured I’d take a chance. He’s only my No. 5 fantasy wideout.

Round 13: Fred Taylor, RB, New England — I’m not expecting much from Taylor in an imminent Patriots backfield committee, but he’s not a bad option as a No. 5 fantasy runner.

Round 14: Chargers defense — I’m expecting the Bolts to have a much better fantasy defense this season, especially with the return of Shawne Merriman from an injured knee.

Round 15: Vernon Davis, TE, San Francisco — Davis won’t see much action on this team unless Gates suffers a long-term ailment, but I still needed to take a No. 2 tight end.

Round 16: John Carney, K, New Orleans — I took the league’s oldest starting quarterback (Favre), so why not it’s oldest kicker? Carney could be solid while Garrett Hartley is out.

So what do you think about this team? Is it a contender or a cellar dweller? Do you think certain quarterbacks (Rivers, Rodgers, Warner, etc.) are coming off the board too soon, or is it more important to land one surefire starter rather than take a chance on someone like Palmer in the middle rounds?

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